Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for MEKUNU-18 in Oman from 22 May 2018 00:00 UTC to 23 May 2018 18:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for MEKUNU-18

in Oman

23 May 2018 18 UTC

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Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone MEKUNU-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Glide number:	TC-2018-000062-OMN
Exposed countries	Oman
Exposed population	240 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	185 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.7 m (25 May 22:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Oman)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	157 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	185 km/h	0.7 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

157 km/h Current Max.

Up to 220000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	22 May 2018 00:00	157	450 thousand	250 thousand	Oman
2	22 May 2018 06:00	139	490 thousand	220 thousand	Oman
3	22 May 2018 12:00	148	500 thousand	220 thousand	Oman
4	22 May 2018 18:00	148	440 thousand	8 thousand	Oman
5	23 May 2018 00:00	157	530 thousand	30 thousand	Yemen, Oman
6	23 May 2018 06:00	139	480 thousand	180 thousand	Oman, Yemen
7	23 May 2018 12:00	167	480 thousand	200 thousand	Oman
8	23 May 2018 18:00	157	470 thousand	220 thousand	Oman, Yemen

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	22 May 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	9.1, 57.3
2	22 May 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	13000 people	9.6, 57.2	Yemen
3	22 May 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	42000 people	10.4, 56.9	Yemen
4	22 May 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	47000 people	10.7, 56.4	Yemen
5	23 May 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	58000 people	10.9, 56	Yemen
6	23 May 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	58000 people	11.5, 56.2	Yemen
7	23 May 2018 12:00	Category 1	120	no people	58000 people	12, 56	Yemen
8	23 May 2018 18:00	Category 1	139	no people	58000 people	12.6, 55.8	Yemen
8	24 May 2018 06:00	Category 2	157	no people	410000 people	13.6, 55.5	Yemen
8	24 May 2018 18:00	Category 2	167	no people	460000 people	14.6, 55.2	Yemen
8	25 May 2018 06:00	Category 2	176	190000 people	460000 people	15.5, 54.9	Oman
8	25 May 2018 18:00	Category 2	157	220000 people	400000 people	16.6, 54.2	Yemen
8	26 May 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	220000 people	18, 52.7	Yemen
8	27 May 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	19.3, 51	Yemen

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

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Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Yemen
Oman

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Zufar	Oman
Al Mahrah	Yemen

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Salalah		Oman	City	170000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Salalah	SLL	22	Civ.	Paved	Yes	10900
Manston		970				0

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Port Raysut	OMRAY	Oman

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.7 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.7m in Araft, Oman. This height is estimated for 25 May 2018 22:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (53 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 23 May 2018 18:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	25 May 2018 22:00	Araft	Oman	0.7
	25 May 2018 23:00	Salalah	Oman	0.5
	25 May 2018 23:00	Al Kathir	Oman	0.5
	25 May 2018 23:00	Sudh	Oman	0.4
	25 May 2018 23:00	Mughsayl	Oman	0.4
	25 May 2018 11:00	Qaysad	Oman	0.2
	26 May 2018 04:00	As Sirab	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 11:00	Lakabi	Oman	0.2
	26 May 2018 00:00	Duqm	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 11:00	Sawqirah	Oman	0.2
	26 May 2018 05:00	Al Khaluf	Oman	0.2
	26 May 2018 06:00	Filim	Oman	0.2
	26 May 2018 02:00	Nafun	Oman	0.2
	26 May 2018 01:00	Kharfat	Oman	0.2
	25 May 2018 21:00	Taqah	Oman	0.1
	26 May 2018 16:00	Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 May 2018 16:00	As Salwa	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 May 2018 03:00	Quwayrah	Oman	0.1
	26 May 2018 02:00	Safqut	Oman	0.1
	26 May 2018 17:00	Qasasil	Qatar	0.1
	26 May 2018 17:00	Umm Bab	Qatar	0.1
	26 May 2018 17:00	Al Uqayr	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	25 May 2018 11:00	Lakba	Oman	0.1
	26 May 2018 00:00	Dhalqut	Oman	0.1
	26 May 2018 12:00	Umm Said	Qatar	0.1
	26 May 2018 18:00	Dukhan	Qatar	0.1
	26 May 2018 18:00	Ar Rumaythah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 16:00	Ra's Munaysif	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 May 2018 18:00	Al Aziziyah	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 May 2018 12:00	Al Wakrah	Qatar	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Shuwayr	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 12:00	Miji	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 14:00	Fararah	Oman	0.1
	25 May 2018 20:00	Marbat	Oman	0.1
	26 May 2018 18:00	Ad Dur	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 18:00	Jaww	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 18:00	Az Zallaq	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 18:00	Al Qurayyah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 19:00	Hamad Town	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 19:00	Salmbad	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 19:00	'Isa Town	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 19:00	Ar Rifa	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 19:00	Ar Rifa' ash Sharqi	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 19:00	Karranah	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 19:00	Al Seef	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 19:00	Jidd Hafs	Bahrain	0.1
	26 May 2018 19:00	Al Manamah	Bahrain	0.1
	25 May 2018 15:00	Hasik	Oman	0.1
	26 May 2018 02:00	Al Kharifut	Oman	0.1
	26 May 2018 16:00	Al Khubar	Saudi Arabia	0.1
	26 May 2018 10:00	Dasah	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 May 2018 10:00	Zahr	United Arab Emirates	0.1
	26 May 2018 10:00	Ar Ruways	United Arab Emirates	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.